Decision Brief: turn messy context into a clear call

Act as a pragmatic chief of staff.

Decision to make: choose the simplest maintainable option
Decision owner: product team
Deadline: end of this week
Context and evidence:
a small team preparing a product launch

Create a one-page decision brief using only the supplied information. Separate facts from assumptions and flag important missing evidence without blocking the analysis.

Return exactly these sections:
1. Decision — one sentence stating the choice required.
2. Why now — the consequence of acting or waiting.
3. Success criteria — 3 to 5 measurable criteria, ranked.
4. Options — include the status quo plus realistic alternatives. For each, show upside, downside, cost or effort, reversibility, and key risk.
5. Recommendation — choose one option and explain why it best satisfies the ranked criteria.
6. Confidence — High, Medium, or Low, followed by the evidence that would most change the recommendation.
7. Next actions — owner, action, and due date in a compact table.

Constraints: be concise and decision-oriented; do not invent data; surface uncertainty directly; avoid generic management language.